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Using Soft Computing Techniques for Prediction of Winners in Tennis Matches

机译:使用软计算技术预测网球比赛的获胜者

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摘要

The forecast of winners in sports brings valuable information for both organizers, media and audience, and this is particularly important in tennis, where the results of a round in a tournament determine which matches will occur in the next round. With that in mind, this work presents a study of the main factors influencing matches predictability and, from this analysis, a new hybrid approach is proposed to calculate the chances of victory of each of the competitors before the start of a match. A Fuzzy Inference System, with its ability to reproduce knowledge of an expert among mixed information, a Neural Network, with the capability of features extraction from examples, and a Strength Equation with optimized weighting factors are the techniques employed. These predictors have as inputs data from previous performances of the players, which in this case try to capture their short, medium and long-term performances, as well as their affinity for the different types of surfaces. Subsequently the results from these predictors are combined by a voting system. The results are encouraging, showing significant gains when comparing to the use of the ATP ranking.
机译:对体育比赛获胜者的预测为组织者,媒体和观众带来了宝贵的信息,这在网球比赛中尤为重要,在网球比赛中,一轮比赛的结果决定了下一轮将进行哪些比赛。考虑到这一点,这项工作提出了影响比赛可预测性的主要因素的研究,并从这一分析中提出了一种新的混合方法来计算比赛开始之前每个竞争对手获胜的机会。所采用的技术是模糊推理系统,该技术具有在混合信息中再现专家知识的能力,神经网络,具有从示例中提取特征的能力以及具有优化加权因子的强度方程式。这些预测变量具有来自玩家先前表现的数据作为输入,在这种情况下,它们试图捕获其短期,中期和长期表现以及它们对不同类型表面的亲和力。随后,这些预测变量的结果将通过投票系统进行合并。结果令人鼓舞,与使用ATP排名相比,显示出明显的进步。

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