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首页> 外文期刊>Malaysian Journal of Computer Science >Classification And Regression Tree In Prediction Of Survival Of AIDS Patients
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Classification And Regression Tree In Prediction Of Survival Of AIDS Patients

机译:分类和回归树在艾滋病患者生存预测中的应用

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Over the years, the advancement in computing technology, the reliability of computers, coupled with the development of easy-to-use but nevertheless sophisticated software has led to significant changes in the way that data are collected and analyzed. Computations has shifted from off-site main frames, dependent on highly trained operators and located in special rooms accessible only to certain authorised staff, to the more accessible desktop and laptop computers. This accessibility has resulted in an increasing number of researches in data mining in which hidden predictive information are extracted from large databases, using techniques from database research, artificial intelligence and statistics, to a wide variety of domains such as finance, manufacturing and medicine. In this research we describe our experiments on the application of Classification And Regression Tree (CART) to predict the survival of AIDS. CART builds classification and regression trees for predicting continuous dependent variables and categorical or predictor variables, and by predicting the most likely value of the dependent variable. In this paper, a total of 998 patients who had been diagnosed with AIDS were grouped according to prognosis by CART. We found that CART were able to predict the survival of AIDS with an accuracy of 60-93% based on selected dependent variables, validated using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC). This could be useful in determining potential treatment methods and monitoring the progress of treatment for AIDS patients.
机译:多年来,计算机技术的进步,计算机的可靠性以及易于使用但功能强大的软件的发展导致数据收集和分析方式的重大变化。计算已从依赖于训练有素的操作员的场外主机(位于仅允许某些授权人员访问的特殊房间中)转移到更易访问的台式机和便携式计算机上。这种可访问性导致了越来越多的数据挖掘研究,其中利用数据库研究,人工智能和统计技术,从大型数据库中提取隐藏的预测信息,并扩展到金融,制造业和医学等众多领域。在这项研究中,我们描述了使用分类回归树(CART)预测AIDS的存活率的实验。 CART建立分类树和回归树,以预测连续因变量和分类或预测变量,并预测因变量的最可能值。本文根据CART的预后将总共998名被诊断为艾滋病的患者分组。我们发现,CART能够根据选定的因变量,以60-93%的准确度预测AIDS的存活,并使用接收者操作特征(ROC)进行了验证。这对于确定潜在的治疗方法和监测艾滋病患者的治疗进度可能很有用。

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