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Prediction Performance of an Artificial Neural Network Model for the Amount of Cooling Energy Consumption in Hotel Rooms

机译:旅馆房间制冷能耗的人工神经网络模型的预测性能

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This study was conducted to develop an artificial neural network (ANN)-based prediction model that can calculate the amount of cooling energy during the setback period of accommodation buildings. By comparing the amount of energy needed for diverse setback temperatures, the most energy-efficient optimal setback temperature could be found and applied in the thermal control logic. Three major processes that used the numerical simulation method were conducted for the development and optimization of an ANN model and for the testing of its prediction performance, respectively. First, the structure and learning method of the initial ANN model was determined to predict the amount of cooling energy consumption during the setback period. Then, the initial structure and learning methods of the ANN model were optimized using parametrical analysis to compare its prediction accuracy levels. Finally, the performance tests of the optimized model proved its prediction accuracy with the lower coefficient of variation of the root mean square errors (CVRMSEs) of the simulated results and the predicted results under generally accepted levels. In conclusion, the proposed ANN model proved its potential to be applied to the thermal control logic for setting up the most energy-efficient setback temperature.
机译:进行这项研究是为了开发一种基于人工神经网络(ANN)的预测模型,该模型可以计算住宿建筑物在倒退期间的制冷量。通过比较各种挫折温度所需的能量数量,可以找到最节能的最佳挫折温度并将其应用于热控制逻辑。进行了使用数值模拟方法的三个主要过程,分别用于开发和优化ANN模型以及测试其预测性能。首先,确定初始人工神经网络模型的结构和学习方法,以预测退步期间的冷却能耗量。然后,使用参数分析对ANN模型的初始结构和学习方法进行优化,以比较其预测精度水平。最后,优化模型的性能测试证明了预测结果的准确性,并且模拟结果和预测结果的均方根误差(CVRMSE)的变异系数较低,且预测结果处于公认的水平下。总之,所提出的人工神经网络模型证明了其潜力,可用于设定最节能的后退温度的热控制逻辑。

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