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Cyclicality of bank capital buffers in South-Eastern Europe: endogenous and exogenous aspects

机译:东南欧银行资本缓冲的周期性:内生和外生方面

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The interdependence between the regulatory capital ratio and macroeconomic indicators, with reference to the phenomena cyclicality and pro-cyclicality is a widely emphasized disadvantage of the capital adequacy concept. Redesign of the aforementioned concept towards the countercyclical capital requirements is a kind of recognition of the creators of the Basel standards of the previous oversights in its development. This paper aims to explore empirically the direction, intensity and significance of endogenous and exogenous determinants of the changes in banks' capital buffers by taking into consideration both the impact of the macroeconomic properties and the bank-specific characteristics of South-Eastern Europe. More than 80 commercial banks in the period from 2000-2010 have been encompassed by the research. Use of a dynamic panel analysis led to the conclusion that the bank capital buffers decreased during the observed period, with the exception of certain years during the economic expansion, which confirms the appropriateness of regulatory requirements considering the countercyclical capital buffers. Nevertheless, it might be that capital building and spending in the future will not follow the pattern from the last decade due to the specificities of the observed period, as well as the banking sector ownership transformations, economic and credit growth as well as asset prices growth in the post-transitional period, and finally, the real crisis which spilled over onto the financial sectors.
机译:监管资本比率与宏观经济指标之间的相互依赖关系,即周期性和亲周期性现象,是资本充足率概念的一个普遍强调的缺点。根据反周期资本要求对上述概念进行重新设计,是对巴塞尔标准制定者对其发展过程中先前监督的一种认可。本文旨在从经验上探索银行资本缓冲变化的内在和外在决定因素的方向,强度和意义,同时考虑到东南欧的宏观经济特征和银行特定特征。该研究涵盖了2000年至2010年期间的80多家商业银行。使用动态面板分析得出的结论是,在观察到的时期内,银行资本缓冲在减少,但经济扩张期间某些年份除外,这证实了考虑反周期资本缓冲的监管要求是适当的。然而,由于观察期的特殊性,银行业所有权的转变,经济和信贷的增长以及资产价格的增长,未来的资本建设和支出可能不会遵循过去十年的模式。在过渡后时期,最后,真正的危机蔓延到金融部门。

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