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Dynamics of persistent poverty in Italy at the beginning of the crisis

机译:危机开始之初意大利持续贫困的态势

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We propose an analysis of the persistent at risk of poverty (PARP) rate in Italy at the beginning of the Great Recession (2007–2010). Italy represents an interesting case study because it has one of the highest PARP rates in Europe, together with a weak labour market, an inadequate social security system, and a pronounced territorial dualism. EU statistics on income and living conditions (EU-SILC) longitudinal data are used. Logistic regression is applied to disentangle the relationship between household and main earner characteristics and the likelihood of being persistently poor. According to our results, male employees are more likely to hamper persistent poverty for their households; the opposite holds true for women as family breadwinner. Human capital endowment also shows a relevant role in preventing persistent poverty. The presence of children, instead, makes households more vulnerable. The South disadvantage slightly decreases at the beginning of the crisis. This is due to the worsening economic conditions in the North and Centre, affected to a wider extent by the economic downturn. The Italian welfare system appears ineffective in protecting worse-off households, and policies aimed at protecting employment, supporting women labour force participation, the elderly, and households with children would be needed.
机译:我们建议对大萧条开始(2007-2010年)期间意大利的持续贫困风险(PARP)率进行分析。意大利代表了一个有趣的案例研究,因为它是欧洲PARP率最高的国家之一,再加上劳动力市场疲软,社会保障体系不足和明显的领土二重性。使用欧盟收入和生活条件统计资料(EU-SILC)的纵向数据。应用逻辑回归分析来理清家庭和主要收入者特征与持续贫困的可能性之间的关系。根据我们的结果,男性雇员更有可能阻碍家庭的持续贫困;妇女作为家庭养家者的情况则相反。人力资本end赋在防止持续贫困方面也显示出重要作用。相反,儿童的存在使家庭更加脆弱。在危机之初,南部的不利条件略有减少。这是由于北部和中部的经济状况恶化,受到经济下滑的影响更大。意大利的福利制度在保护贫困家庭方面似乎无效,因此需要旨在保护就业,支持女性劳动力参与,老年人和有子女家庭的政策。

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