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An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Exchange Rate Movements and Economic Growth in Nigeria

机译:尼日利亚汇率变动与经济增长关系的实证分析

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This paper analyses the relationship between exchange rate movements and economic growth in Nigeria using annual data spanning 1970-2011. Specifically, it sought to: examine the relationship between exchange rate and economic growth; and also to determine the nature and the direction of causality between exchange rate and economic growth in Nigeria. Employing the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique and the Granger Causality Test, the study revealed the existence of a positive and insignificant relationship between exchange rate and economic growth in Nigeria. The results also indicate that there is no causality between exchange rate and economic growth in Nigeria. In view of the fact that exchange rate stability is absolutely imperative for macroeconomic stability, the study recommends amongst others that government should adopt appropriate monetary and fiscal policies that will not only ensure a realistic and stable exchange rate but will also serve to foster economic growth in Nigeria. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Economic Growth, Ordinary Least Square, Causality.
机译:本文使用1970-2011年的年度数据分析了尼日利亚的汇率变动与经济增长之间的关系。具体而言,它试图:研究汇率与经济增长之间的关系;并确定尼日利亚汇率与经济增长之间因果关系的性质和方向。该研究利用普通最小二乘(OLS)技术和格兰杰因果检验,揭示了尼日利亚汇率与经济增长之间存在正向和微不足道的关系。结果还表明,尼日利亚的汇率与经济增长之间没有因果关系。考虑到汇率稳定对宏观经济稳定绝对必要的事实,该研究建议,除其他外,政府应采取适当的货币和财政政策,这些政策不仅可以确保现实和稳定的汇率,而且有助于促进墨西哥的经济增长。尼日利亚。关键字:汇率,经济增长,普通最小二乘,因果关系。

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