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Mapping Climate Change Vulnerabilities to Infectious Diseases in Europe

机译:绘制气候变化脆弱性与欧洲传染病的映射

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Background: The incidence, outbreak frequency, and distribution of many infectious diseases are generally expected to change as a consequence of climate change, yet there is limited regional information available to guide decision making. Objective: We surveyed government officials designated as Competent Bodies for Scientific Advice concerning infectious diseases to examine the degree to which they are concerned about potential effects of climate change on infectious diseases, as well as their perceptions of institutional capacities in their respective countries. Methods: In 2007 and 2009/2010, national infectious disease experts from 30 European Economic Area countries were surveyed about recent and projected infectious disease patterns in relation to climate change in their countries and the national capacity to cope with them. Results: A large majority of respondents agreed that climate change would affect vector-borne (86% of country representatives), food-borne (70%), water-borne (68%), and rodent-borne (68%) diseases in their countries. In addition, most indicated that institutional improvements are needed for ongoing surveillance programs (83%), collaboration with the veterinary sector (69%), management of animal disease outbreaks (66%), national monitoring and control of climate-sensitive infectious diseases (64%), health services during an infectious disease outbreak (61%), and diagnostic support during an epidemic (54%). Conclusions: Expert responses were generally consistent with the peer-reviewed literature regarding the relationship between climate change and vector- and water-borne diseases, but were less so for food-borne diseases. Shortcomings in institutional capacity to manage climate change vulnerability, identified in this assessment, should be addressed in impact, vulnerability, and adaptation assessments.
机译:背景:由于气候变化,许多传染病的发病率,暴发频率和分布通常会发生变化,但可用于指导决策的区域信息有限。目的:我们调查了被指定为传染病科学咨询主管机构的政府官员,以调查他们对气候变化对传染病的潜在影响的关注程度,以及他们对各自国家机构能力的看法。方法:在2007年和2009/2010年,对来自30个欧洲经济区国家的国家传染病专家进行了调查,调查了有关其国家中与气候变化有关的近期和预期传染病模​​式以及国家应对能力。结果:绝大多数受访者认为,气候变化将影响媒介传播媒介(占国家代表的86%),食物传播媒介(70%),水传播媒介(68%)和啮齿动物传播媒介(68%)疾病。他们的国家。此外,大多数人指出,需要进行机构改进,以进行持续的监测计划(83%),与兽医部门的合作(69%),动物疾病暴发的管理(66%),对气候敏感的传染病的国家监测和控制( 64%),传染病暴发期间的卫生服务(61%)和流行病期间的诊断支持(54%)。结论:专家的回答总体上与关于气候变化与病媒和水传播疾病之间关系的同行评审文献一致,但对食源性疾病则较少。评估中确定的应对气候变化脆弱性的机构能力缺陷应在影响,脆弱性和适应性评估中加以解决。

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