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The Nonlinearity of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Tunisia

机译:新凯恩斯主义菲利普斯曲线的非线性:突尼斯的情况

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This article seeks to check the nonlinearity of the Phillips curve in Tunisia for the 1993–2012 period, relying on a hybrid new Keynesian Phillips curve modeled via a Logistic Smooth Transition Regression (LSTR) model with endogenous variables. We estimate this model using the nonlinear instrumental variables. The empirical results corroborate the new Keynesian assumption ofprice rigidity and show that the response of inflation to the output gap tends to be significant only if the inflation rate tends to be relatively high and exceeds a certain threshold. For a low inflation rate, the price rigidity dominates. This result is particularly evident in Tunisia, especially for the years following the 2011 revolution during which the elasticity of inflation rate to an excess demand has become highly important and the inflation rate experienced record levels.
机译:本文力图检查突尼斯1993-2012年期间Phillips曲线的非线性,它依赖于通过具有内生变量的Logistic平滑过渡回归(LSTR)模型建模的混合新凯恩斯Phillips曲线。我们使用非线性工具变量来估计该模型。实证结果证实了凯恩斯主义关于价格刚性的新假设,并表明只有通货膨胀率相对较高并超过一定阈值时,通货膨胀对产出缺口的响应才有意义。对于低通胀率,价格刚性占主导。这一结果在突尼斯尤其明显,尤其是在2011年革命之后的几年中,通货膨胀率对过剩需求的弹性变得非常重要,通货膨胀率达到了创纪录的水平。

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