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Jump Variation Estimation with Noisy High Frequency Financial Data via Wavelets

机译:带有小波的高频金融数据的跳跃变化估计

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This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation, derivative pricing and risk management. The method has a two-step procedure with detection and estimation. In Step 1, we detect the jump locations by performing wavelet transformation on the observed noisy price processes. Since wavelet coefficients are significantly larger at the jump locations than the others, we calibrate the wavelet coefficients through a threshold and declare jump points if the absolute wavelet coefficients exceed the threshold. In Step 2 we estimate the jump variation by averaging noisy price processes at each side of a declared jump point and then taking the difference between the two averages of the jump point. Specifically, for each jump location detected in Step 1, we get two averages from the observed noisy price processes, one before the detected jump location and one after it, and then take their difference to estimate the jump variation. Theoretically, we show that the two-step procedure based on average realized volatility processes can achieve a convergence rate close to O P ( n ? 4 / 9 ) , which is better than the convergence rate O P ( n ? 1 / 4 ) for the procedure based on the original noisy process, where n is the sample size. Numerically, the method based on average realized volatility processes indeed performs better than that based on the price processes. Empirically, we study the distribution of jump variation using Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks and compare the results using the original price process and the average realized volatility processes.
机译:本文提出了一种在存在市场微观结构噪声的情况下,利用高频数据改善跳变估计的方法。对跳变的准确估计是迫切需要的,因为它是用于资产组合分配,衍生产品定价和风险管理的金融波动性的重要组成部分。该方法具有检测和估计的两步过程。在第1步中,我们通过对观察到的嘈杂价格过程执行小波变换来检测跳跃位置。由于小波系数在跳跃位置处比其他位置大得多,因此我们通过阈值校准小波系数,如果绝对小波系数超过阈值,则声明跳跃点。在第2步中,我们通过对声明的跳跃点每一侧的嘈杂价格过程进行平均,然后取两个跳跃点平均值之间的差来估算跳跃变化。具体来说,对于在步骤1中检测到的每个跳跃位置,我们从观察到的嘈杂价格过程中获得两个平均值,一个在检测到的跳跃位置之前,另一个在其之后,然后利用它们的差值估算跳跃变化。从理论上讲,我们表明基于平均已实现波动率过程的两步过程可以达到接近OP(n?4/9)的收敛速度,这比该过程的收敛率OP(n?1/4)更好。基于原始的噪声过程,其中n是样本大小。在数值上,基于平均已实现波动率过程的方法的确比基于价格过程的方法表现更好。根据经验,我们使用道琼斯工业平均指数股票研究跳跃变化的分布,并使用原始价格过程和平均已实现波动率过程比较结果。

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