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Does Bilateral Market and Financial Integration Explains International Co-Movement Patterns 1

机译:双边市场和金融一体化是否解释了国际共同运动模式1

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This study aims to explore the relationship between market integration, foreign portfolio equity holding and inflation rates on international stock market linkages between Pakistan and India. To measure stock equity interlinkage, we constructed international co-movement index through rolling beta estimation. Market integration variable between these two countries is constructed using the International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM). To check the impact of market integration, foreign portfolio equity holding and inflation rate on Pakistan-Indian stock market co-movement, we applied autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) estimation. ARDL estimation is applied due to different stationarity levels of the included variables. The level of convergence speed is measured by the introduction of error correction term (ECT) followed by variance decomposition analysis. Results of the study indicated presence of long term relationship among the included variables along with significance variance in bilateral co-movement due to inflation rate differential. The significance of inflation rate differences between these two countries are in accordance with portfolio balance theory stating that investors possess information about the macroeconomic variables thereby readjusting their portfolios for effective diversification.
机译:这项研究旨在探讨巴基斯坦和印度之间国际股票市场联系上的市场整合,外国证券持有量和通货膨胀率之间的关系。为了衡量股票之间的相互联系,我们通过滚动β估计构建了国际同动指数。这两个国家之间的市场整合变量是使用国际资本资产定价模型(ICAPM)构建的。为了检查市场整合,外国证券资产持股量和通货膨胀率对巴基斯坦-印度股票市场联动的影响,我们应用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)估计。由于所包含变量的平稳性水平不同,因此应用了ARDL估计。通过引入纠错项(ECT),然后进行方差分解分析,来测量收敛速度的水平。研究结果表明,由于通货膨胀率差异,包括的变量之间存在长期关系,以及双边同动的显着性差异。这两个国家之间通货膨胀率差异的重要性符合投资组合平衡理论,该理论指出投资者掌握了有关宏观经济变量的信息,从而调整了其投资组合以实现有效的多元化。

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