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A Research on Spike Jump of Electricity Price in the Deregulated Power Markets

机译:放松管制的电力市场中电价飙升的研究

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In the deregulated power markets, the electricity market price forecasting is very important for the market participants, managers GenCo, DisCo, retailers, etc. Although, most of researches has achieved good results on the electricity market price forecasting, however, these techniques mostly focus on normal price forecasting and not considering price spikes in the electricity market. In this study, we propose a price interval identification model using neural network, which can generate forecasted price interval, level of spike and associated forecast confidence. The model is tested with the Queensland electricity market data of Australia and promising results are been obtained.
机译:在放松管制的电力市场中,电力市场价格预测对市场参与者,经理GenCo,DisCo,零售商等非常重要。尽管大多数研究在电力市场价格预测上都取得了不错的成绩,但是这些技术主要集中在基于正常的价格预测,而不考虑电力市场中的价格上涨。在这项研究中,我们提出了使用神经网络的价格区间识别模型,该模型可以生成预测的价格区间,峰值水平和相关的预测置信度。该模型已用澳大利亚昆士兰州电力市场数据进行了测试,并获得了可喜的结果。

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