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Application of Data Mining Techniques in Weather Data Analysis

机译:数据挖掘技术在气象数据分析中的应用

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Weather analysis has been playing its vital role in meteorology and become one of the most challengeable problems both scientifically and technologically all over the world from the last century. This study carries historical weather data collected locally at Faisalabad city, Pakistan that was analyzed for useful knowledge by applying data mining techniques. Data includes ten years period [2007-2016]. It had been tried to extract useful practical knowledge of weather data on monthly based historical analysis. Analysis and investigation was done using data mining techniques by examining changing patterns of weather parameters which includes maximum temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed and rainfall. After preprocessing of data and outlier analysis, K-means clustering algorithm and Decision Tree algorithm were applied. Two clusters were generated by using K-means Clustering algorithm with lowest and highest of mean parameters. Whereas in decision tree algorithm, a model was developed for modeling meteorological data and it was used to train an algorithm known as the classifier. 10-fold cross validation used to generate trees. The result obtained with smallest error (33%) was selected on test data set. While for the number of rules generated of the given tree was selected with minimum error of 25%. The results showed that for the given enough set data, these techniques can be used for weather analysis and climate change studies.
机译:从上个世纪开始,天气分析一直在气象学中发挥着至关重要的作用,并已成为全世界科学和技术上最具挑战性的问题之一。这项研究提供了在巴基斯坦费萨拉巴德市本地收集的历史天气数据,并通过应用数据挖掘技术对有用的知识进行了分析。数据包括十年期[2007-2016]。已尝试在基于月度的历史分析中提取天气数据的实用知识。使用数据挖掘技术,通过检查天气参数的变化模式(包括最高温度,最低温度,风速和降雨量)来进行分析和调查。经过数据预处理和离群分析,应用了K均值聚类算法和决策树算法。使用K-means聚类算法生成的两个聚类具有最低和最高平均参数。而在决策树算法中,开发了一个用于对气象数据进行建模的模型,该模型用于训练称为分类器的算法。用于生成树的10倍交叉验证。在测试数据集上选择误差最小(33%)的结果。而对于给定树生成的规则数量,选择时的最小误差为25%。结果表明,对于给定的足够数据集,这些技术可以用于天气分析和气候变化研究。

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