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Review of combining forecasts approaches

机译:审查结合预测方法

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The first review of the literature on the subject combination of forecasts was made in the twentieth century by Robert Clemen. After more than twenty years, several other papers have been published with new theories and applications, but no other similar review was performed. Faced with this placement, this paper aimed to review the literature on the approaches of combining forecast after the survey conducted by Clemen (1989), covering the various areas of knowledge. Thus, this paper presents the classification and analysis of 174 articles collected on the subject, describing their main characteristics. As main contributions, this paper offers: a summary of current literature on the topic; a classification of articles according to the approaches; a subdivision of items within each approach; analysis of classification and identification of the most common methods, new methods, and future research. Keywords: combining forecasts, review of the literature, forecasting.
机译:罗伯特·克莱门(Robert Clemen)在20世纪首次对有关预测的主题组合的文献进行了回顾。二十多年后,其他几篇论文也发表了新的理论和应用,但没有进行其他类似的评论。面对这样的情况,本文旨在回顾由克莱门(Clemen,1989)进行的调查后有关预测合并方法的文献,涉及知识的各个领域。因此,本文介绍了关于该主题的174篇文章的分类和分析,描述了它们的主要特征。作为主要贡献,本文提供:有关该主题的最新文献综述;根据方法对物品进行分类;每种方法中项目的细分;最常见的方法,新方法和未来研究的分类和识别分析。关键字:结合预测,文献综述,预测。

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