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Seasonality of the Lagged Relationship between ENSO and the Northern Hemispheric Polar Vortex Variability

机译:ENSO与北半球极涡变化之间滞后关系的季节性

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摘要

This paper reports the seasonal feature of the relationship between ENSO and the stratospheric Polar Vortex Oscillation (PVO) variability in the Northern Hemisphere. It is shown that the lagged ENSO-PVO coupling relationship exhibits distinct seasonal feature, due to the strong seasonality of PVO and ENSO. Specifically, the PVO variability not only during winter, but also in autumn and spring months, is significantly correlated with ENSO anomalies leading by seasons; however, no significant effect of ENSO is found on the PVO variability in winter months of November and February. Although a significant ENSO effect is primarily observed when ENSO leads PVO by about one year, a significant correlation is also found between PVO in the following spring months (M~(–1)A~(–1)) and ENSO anomalies in the previous autumn (A~(–1)S~(–1)O~(–1)N~(–1)) when ENSO anomalies lead by about 18 months. The significant correlation between PVO in various seasons and the corresponding ENSO anomalies leading by seasons could be explicitly verified in most of the individual years, confirming that the lagged ENSO effect can largely modulate the seasonal timescale variability of PVO. Moreover, the composite spatial patterns of the zonal-mean temperature anomalies further show that the ENSO effect on the PVO in various seasons is related to the interannual variability of the seasonal timescale PVO events.
机译:本文报道了北半球ENSO与平流层极涡旋变(PVO)变化之间关系的季节特征。结果表明,由于PVO和ENSO的强烈季节性,使得ENSO-PVO的滞后耦合关系表现出明显的季节性特征。具体而言,PVO的变异性不仅在冬季,而且在秋季和春季月份都与季节导致的ENSO异常显着相关。但是,在11月和2月的冬季,ENSO对PVO变异性没有显着影响。尽管当ENSO领先PVO约一年时,主要观察到ENSO的显着效果,但在随后的春季月份(M〜(–1)A〜(–1))与前一个月的ENSO异常之间也发现了显着的相关性。 ENSO异常导致大约18个月的秋季(A〜(–1)S〜(–1)O〜(–1)N〜(–1))。在各个年份的大部分年份中,可以明确验证各个季节的PVO与相应的ENSO异常(由季节导致)之间的显着相关性,这证明滞后的ENSO效应可以在很大程度上调节PVO的季节性时标变化。此外,纬向平均温度异常的复合空间格局进一步表明,ENSO在各个季节对PVO的影响与季节时标PVO事件的年际变化有关。

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