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Sensitivity of Global Modeling Initiative chemistry and transport model simulations of radon-222 and lead-210 to input meteorological data

机译:Model 222和铅210的Global Modeling Initiative化学和运输模型模拟对输入气象数据的敏感性

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We have used the Global Modeling Initiative chemistry and transport model tosimulate the radionuclides radon-222 and lead-210 using three different setsof input meteorological information: 1. Output from the Goddard Space FlightCenter Global Modeling and Assimilation Office GEOS-STRAT assimilation; 2.Output from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies GISS II' generalcirculation model; and 3. Output from the National Center for AtmosphericResearch MACCM3 general circulation model. We intercompare these simulationswith observations to determine the variability resulting from the differentmeteorological data used to drive the model, and to assess the agreement ofthe simulations with observations at the surface and in the uppertroposphere/lower stratosphere region. The observational datasets we use areprimarily climatologies developed from multiple years of observations. Inthe upper troposphere/lower stratosphere region, climatologicaldistributions of lead-210 were constructed from ~25 years of aircraftand balloon observations compiled into the US Environmental MeasurementsLaboratory RANDAB database. Taken as a whole, no simulation stands out assuperior to the others. However, the simulation driven by the NCAR MACCM3meteorological data compares better with lead-210 observations in the uppertroposphere/lower stratosphere region. Comparisons of simulations made withand without convection show that the role played by convective transport andscavenging in the three simulations differs substantially. These differencesmay have implications for evaluation of the importance of very short-livedhalogen-containing species on stratospheric halogen budgets.
机译:我们已使用全球建模倡议组织的化学和运输模型,使用三组不同的输入气象信息来模拟放射性核素ra-222和铅-210:1.戈达德太空飞行中心全球建模和同化办公室GEOS-STRAT同化的输出; 2,戈达德空间研究所GISS II的全环流模型的输出; 3.美国国家大气研究中心MACCM3总体环流模型的输出。我们将这些模拟与观测值进行相互比较,以确定用于驱动该模型的不同气象数据所产生的变异性,并评估该模拟值与对流层和平流层下部/平流层下部区域观测值的一致性。我们使用的观测数据集主要是从多年观测发展而来的气候。在对流层上部/平流层下部区域,铅〜210的气候分布是根据大约25年的飞机和气球观测数据构建的,这些观测数据已编入美国环境测量实验室RANDAB数据库中。从总体上看,没有哪个模拟比其他模拟更出色。然而,由NCAR MACCM3气象数据驱动的模拟与对流层上层/平流层下层区域的铅210观测结果相比具有更好的对比性。对流与不对流进行的模拟比较表明,对流传输和清除在这三个模拟中所起的作用有很大不同。这些差异可能对评估平流层卤素预算中非常短寿命的含卤素物种的重要性产生影响。

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