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Aerosol decadal trends – Part 1: In-situ optical measurements at GAW and IMPROVE stations

机译:气溶胶十年趋势–第1部分:GAW和IMPROVE站的现场光学测量

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Currently many ground-based atmospheric stations include in-situ measurementsof aerosol physical and optical properties, resulting in more than 20long-term (> 10 yr) aerosol measurement sites in the Northern Hemisphereand Antarctica. Most of these sites are located at remote locations andmonitor the aerosol particle number concentration, wavelength-dependent lightscattering, backscattering, and absorption coefficients. The existence ofthese multi-year datasets enables the analysis of long-term trends of theseaerosol parameters, and of the derived light scattering ?ngstr?mexponent and backscatter fraction. Since the aerosol variables are notnormally distributed, three different methods (the seasonal Mann-Kendall testassociated with the Sen's slope, the generalized least squares fit associatedwith an autoregressive bootstrap algorithm for confidence intervals, and theleast-mean square fit applied to logarithms of the data) were applied todetect the long-term trends and their magnitudes. To allow a comparison amongmeasurement sites, trends on the most recent 10 and 15 yr periods werecalculated. No significant trends were found for the three continentalEuropean sites. Statistically significant trends were found for the twoEuropean marine sites but the signs of the trends varied with aerosolproperty and location. Statistically significant decreasing trends for bothscattering and absorption coefficients (mean slope of−2.0% yr?1) were found for most North American stations,although positive trends were found for a few desert and high-altitude sites.The difference in the timing of emission reduction policy for the Europe andUS continents is a likely explanation for the decreasing trends in aerosoloptical parameters found for most American sites compared to the lack oftrends observed in Europe. No significant trends in scattering coefficientwere found for the Arctic or Antarctic stations, whereas the Arctic stationhad a negative trend in absorption coefficient. The high altitude Pacificisland station of Mauna Loa presents positive trends for both scattering andabsorption coefficients.
机译:当前,许多地面大气站都对气溶胶的物理和光学特性进行了现场测量,从而在北半球和南极洲形成了20多个长期(> 10年)气溶胶测量站点。这些位置中的大多数位于偏远位置,并监视气溶胶颗粒数浓度,与波长相关的光散射,反向散射和吸收系数。这些多年的数据集的存在使得能够分析气溶胶参数的长期趋势,以及导出的光散射指数和反向散射分数。由于气溶胶变量不是正态分布的,因此可以使用三种不同的方法(季节性的Mann-Kendall检验与Sen的斜率关联,广义最小二乘法拟合和自回归自举算法的置信区间,以及最小均方拟合应用于数据的对数)被用于检测长期趋势及其幅度。为便于比较测量地点,计算了最近10年和15年的趋势。没有发现欧洲三个大陆站点的显着趋势。在两个欧洲海洋站点发现了统计学上显着的趋势,但是趋势的迹象随气溶胶特性和位置的不同而变化。北美大多数气象站的散射系数和吸收系数都有统计学意义的下降趋势(平均坡度为-2.0%yr ?1 ),尽管在少数沙漠和高海拔地区也发现了正趋势。欧洲和美国大陆的减排政策的时间安排上的差异,很可能解释了与欧洲缺乏趋势的情况相比,大多数美国站点发现的气溶胶参数下降趋势。没有发现北极站或南极站的散射系数有明显趋势,而北极站的吸收系数却有负趋势。莫纳洛阿岛的高海拔太平洋岛站对散射系数和吸收系数都呈现出积极的趋势。

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