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An Analysis of Interest and Exchange Rates Effect on the Nigerian Economy: 1975-2008

机译:利率和汇率对尼日利亚经济的影响分析:1975-2008年

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The study examines the impact of interest and exchange rates on the Nigerian economy from 1975-2008. Data for the variables were collected from the CBN statistical bulletin. The study employs the ordinary least square (OLS) technique in the analysis but due to the fact that data are not stationary, a unit root test was employed; it further resorted to co-integration analysis which establishes the existence of a long run relationship between the variables in the models. From our findings we discovered that an increase in interest rate retards investment and subsequently economic growth; and the lag one of exchange rate shows the expected positive sign, implying that depreciation in exchange rate retarded growth from 1975 to 2008. Thus, interest and exchange rates exerted negative impact on the Nigerian economy during the period under review. Consequent upon this, the study therefore recommends among others; that interest and exchange rates should be given due consideration, because a competitive and stable interest and exchange rates will stimulate growth through investment, will strengthen the commercial policy of the country and diversify the productive base of the economy.
机译:该研究考察了利率和汇率对1975-2008年尼日利亚经济的影响。变量的数据是从CBN统计公告中收集的。该研究在分析中采用了普通最小二乘(OLS)技术,但由于数据不稳定,因此采用了单位根检验。它进一步求助于协整分析,建立了模型中变量之间的长期关系。从我们的发现中我们发现,利率上升会阻碍投资,进而阻碍经济增长。汇率的滞后之一显示出预期的积极信号,这意味着从1975年到2008年,汇率贬值阻碍了经济增长。因此,在本报告所述期间,利率和汇率对尼日利亚经济产生了负面影响。因此,这项研究因此提出了建议。应当适当考虑利率和汇率,因为具有竞争力的稳定利率和汇率将通过投资刺激增长,将加强该国的商业政策,并使经济的生产基础多样化。

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