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Systemic Risk of Conventional and Islamic Banks: Comparison with Graphical Network Models

机译:传统和伊斯兰银行的系统风险:与图形网络模型的比较

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The main aim of this paper is to compare the stability, in terms of systemic risk, of conventional and Islamic banking systems. To this aim, we propose correlation network models for stock market returns based on graphical Gaussian distributions, which allows us to capture the contagion effects that move along countries. We also consider Bayesian graphical models, to account for model uncertainty in the measurement of financial systems interconnectedness. Our proposed model is applied to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region banking sector, characterized by the presence of both conventional and Islamic banks, for the period from 2007 to the beginning of 2014. Our empirical findings show that there are differences in the systemic risk and stability of the two banking systems during crisis times. In addition, the differences are subject to country specific effects that are amplified during crisis period.
机译:本文的主要目的是比较传统和伊斯兰银行系统在系统风险方面的稳定性。为此,我们提出了基于图形高斯分布的股票市场收益相关网络模型,这使我们能够捕获各国之间传播的传染效应。我们还考虑贝叶斯图形模型,以解决金融系统互连性度量中的模型不确定性。我们提出的模型适用于中东和北非(MENA)地区的银行业,其特征是从2007年到2014年初存在传统银行和伊斯兰银行。我们的经验发现表明,在危机时期两个银行系统的系统性风险和稳定性。此外,这些差异还受到特定国家的影响,这些影响在危机期间会扩大。

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