Mathematical model of caprine arthritis encephalitis considering the seasonal breeding

摘要

This study was aimed at developing mathematical model of caprine arthritis encephalitis (CAE) and considering effective measures to prevent CAE's infection spread. This model took account of the fluctuation of infection rate due to seasonal breeding. New CAE model was constructed based on the sexually transmitted disease (STD) model. The new model was implemented the new function represented cyclical changes of infection rate to include the changes of the seasonal breeding. And definition equation of basic reproductive numbers (R_0) was constructed in reference previous study. In order to consider effective measures to prevent CAE's infection, the spread of CAE's infection was performed simulation.