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Bayesian approach to magnetotelluric tensor decomposition

机译:贝叶斯方法的大地电磁张量分解

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Normal.dotm 0 0 1 210 1198 INGV BO 9 2 1471 12.0 0 false 14 18 pt 18 pt 0 0 false false false Magnetotelluric directional analysis and impedance tensor decomposition are basic tools to validate a local/regional composite electrical model of the underlying structure. Bayesian stochastic methods approach the problem of the parameter estimation and their uncertainty characterization in a fully probabilistic fashion, through the use of posterior model probabilities.We use the standard Groom-Bailey 3-D local/2-D regional composite model in our bayesian approach. We assume that the experimental impedance estimates are contamined with the Gaussian noise and define the likelihood of a particular composite model with respect to the observed data. We use non-informative, flat priors over physically reasonable intervals for the standard Groom-Bailey decomposition parameters. We apply two numerical methods, the Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure based on the Gibbs sampler and a single-component adaptive Metropolis algorithm. From the posterior samples, we characterize the estimates and uncertainties of the individual decomposition parameters by using the respective marginal posterior probabilities. We conclude that the stochastic scheme performs reliably for a variety of models, including the multisite and multifrequency case with up to several hundreds of parameters. Though the Monte Carlo samplers are computationally very intensive, the adaptive Metropolis algorithm increase the speed of the simulations for large-scale problems.
机译:Normal.dotm 0 0 1 210 1198 INGV BO 9 2 1471 12.0 0错误14 18点18点0 0错误错误错误大地电磁方向分析和阻抗张量分解是验证基础结构的局部/区域复合电模型的基本工具。贝叶斯随机方法通过使用后验模型概率以完全概率的方式解决参数估计及其不确定性表征的问题。我们在贝叶斯方法中使用标准的Groom-Bailey 3-D局部/ 2-D区域复合模型。我们假设实验阻抗估计值被高斯噪声所污染,并针对观察到的数据定义了特定复合模型的可能性。对于标准的Groom-Bailey分解参数,我们在物理上合理的间隔内使用非信息性,平坦的先验。我们应用了两种数值方法,即基于Gibbs采样器的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗程序和单分量自适应Metropolis算法。从后验样本中,我们利用各自的边际后验概率来表征各个分解参数的估计和不确定性。我们得出的结论是,随机方案对于多种模型都可以可靠地执行,包括具有多达数百个参数的多站点和多频率情况。尽管蒙特卡洛采样器的计算量很大,但是自适应Metropolis算法提高了针对大规模问题的仿真速度。

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