首页> 外文期刊>American Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences >Month Ahead Rainfall Forecasting Using Gene Expression Programming
【24h】

Month Ahead Rainfall Forecasting Using Gene Expression Programming

机译:使用基因表达程序进行未来一个月的降雨预报

获取原文
           

摘要

In the present study, gene expression programming (GEP) technique was used to develop one-month ahead monthly rainfall forecasting models in two meteorological stations located at a semi-arid region, Iran. GEP was trained and tested using total monthly rainfall (TMR) time series measured at the stations. Time lagged series of TMR samples having weak stationary state were used as inputs for the modeling. Performance of the best evolved models were compared with those of classic genetic programming (GP) and autoregressive state-space (ASS) approaches using coefficient of efficiency (R2) and root mean squared error measures. The results showed good performance (0.532<0.56) for GEP models at testing period. In both stations, the best model evolved by GEP outperforms the GP and are significantly superior to the ASS models.
机译:在本研究中,使用基因表达编程(GEP)技术在位于伊朗半干旱地区的两个气象站开发了提前一个月的每月降雨预报模型。 GEP是使用站点测得的总月降雨量(TMR)时间序列进行培训和测试的。具有弱固定状态的TMR样本的时间滞后序列用作建模的输入。使用效率系数(R2)和均方根误差度量,将最佳进化模型的性能与经典遗传规划(GP)和自回归状态空间(ASS)方法的性能进行比较。结果表明,GEP模型在测试期间具有良好的性能(0.532 <0.56)。在这两个站点中,GEP演化出的最佳模型均胜过GP,并且显着优于ASS模型。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号