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Spatial variability and trends of the rain intensity over Greece

机译:希腊各地降雨强度的空间变异性和趋势

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In this study, the spatial and temporal variability of the mean annual rainintensity in Greece are examined during a 41-year period (1962–2002). Themeteorological datasets concern monthly rain amounts (mm) and the respectivemonthly durations (h) recorded at thirty two meteorological stations of theHellenic National Meteorological Service, which are uniformly distributed onGreek territory, in order to calculate the mean monthly rain intensity. Allthe rain time series used in the analysis were tested by the application ofthe short-cut Bartlett test of homogeneity. The spatial distribution of themean annual rain intensity is studied using the Kriging interpolationmethod, while the temporal variability, concerning the mean annual rainintensity trends along with their significance (Mann-Kendall test), isanalysed.The findings of the analysis show that statistically significant negativetrends (95% confidence level) appear mainly in the west sub-regions ofGreece, while statistically significant positive trends (95% confidencelevel) appear in the wider area of Athens and the complex of CycladesIslands. Further analysis concerning the seasonal rain intensity is needed,because there are different seasonal patterns, taking into account that,convective rain in Greece occurs mainly within the summer season.
机译:在这项研究中,研究了41年间(1962年至2002年)希腊平均年降雨强度的时空变化。气象数据集涉及在希腊国家气象局的32个气象站记录的月雨量(mm)和相应的每月持续时间(h),这些气象站均匀分布在希腊领土上,以便计算平均月雨强度。在分析中使用的所有降雨时间序列均通过均一性的快捷Bartlett检验进行了检验。使用克里格插值法研究了主题年降水强度的空间分布,同时分析了有关年均降水强度趋势及其显着性的时间变异性(Mann-Kendall检验)。 分析结果研究表明,具有统计意义的负趋势(95%的置信度)主要出现在希腊的西部区域,而具有统计意义的正趋势(95%的置信度)则出现在更广阔的雅典地区和基克拉泽斯群岛综合体中。由于存在不同的季节模式,因此需要对季节性降雨强度进行进一步分析,并考虑到希腊的对流降雨主要发生在夏季。

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