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Stability Analysis and Optimal Control Strategy for Prevention of Pine Wilt Disease

机译:松树病防治的稳定性分析及最优防治策略

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We propose a mathematical model of pine wilt disease (PWD) which is caused by pine sawyer beetles carrying the pinewood nematode (PWN). We calculate the basic reproduction numberR0and investigate the stability of a disease-free and endemic equilibrium in a given mathematical model. We show that the stability of the equilibrium in the proposed model can be controlled through the basic reproduction numberR0. We then discuss effective optimal control strategies for the proposed PWD mathematical model. We demonstrate the existence of a control problem, and then we apply both analytical and numerical techniques to demonstrate effective control methods to prevent the transmission of the PWD. In order to do this, we apply two control strategies: tree-injection of nematicide and the eradication of adult beetles through aerial pesticide spraying. Optimal prevention strategies can be determined by solving the corresponding optimality system. Numerical simulations of the optimal control problem using a set of reasonable parameter values suggest that reducing the number of pine sawyer beetles is more effective than the tree-injection strategy for controlling the spread of PWD.
机译:我们提出了一种松树枯萎病(PWD)的数学模型,该模型由携带松木线虫(PWN)的松锯甲虫引起。我们计算基本繁殖数R0,并在给定的数学模型中研究无病和地方病平衡的稳定性。我们表明,可以通过基本复制数R0来控制所提出模型中平衡的稳定性。然后,我们讨论提出的PWD数学模型的有效最佳控制策略。我们演示了控制问题的存在,然后应用分析和数值技术来演示有效的控制方法,以防止PWD的传播。为此,我们采用了两种控制策略:注射杀线虫剂和通过空中喷洒农药根除成年甲虫。可以通过解决相应的最优系统来确定最优预防策略。使用一组合理的参数值对最优控制问题的数值模拟表明,减少松树锯齿甲虫的数量比控制PWD扩散的树注入策略更有效。

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