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Urban Simulation Models: Contributions as Analysis-Methodology in a Project of Urban Renewal*

机译:城市模拟模型:作为城市更新项目中的分析方法的贡献*

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The recent urban transformations produced in cities indicate the need to propose new theoretical and methodological approaches in physical planning. Based on the idea of complexity, it is required to integrate, in the analysis, multiplicity of interrelated factors involved in urban development, moreover, to develop planning tools that can incorporate variables not initially considered (for example when the norms were sanctioned) and instruments that would provide assessment alternatives to planning decisions in real time. The simulation models are suggested as tools to detect the elements, relationships and the dynamics in a simplified form that allow experiencing on the results. That is to say, a theoretical position on to a computer model is translated to investigate (in an experimental way) possible solutions derived from manipulating the variables, before the phenomenon is materialized. In the case of urban planning, this condition is of particular relevance, given the importance to anticipate unwanted effects in the intervention context that may arise when urban projects are built. The paper evaluates the application of a simulation methodology, based on the dynamics of systems and the application of software that can anticipate the effects of certain decisions in an urban renewal project in the city of Córdoba, Argentina. It applies the General Systems Theory that is a contribution to the notion of complex thought and is trans-disciplinary. Based on the idea of complex and multidimensional city, the effects of a real estate development are analyzed and conclusions on the limits and possibilities of using this tool during the processes of urban management are provided.
机译:城市中最近发生的城市转型表明,有必要在物理规划中提出新的理论和方法论方法。基于复杂性的思想,需要在分析中整合城市发展中涉及的多个相互关联的因素,并且开发出可以纳入最初未考虑的变量(例如,在批准规范时)和工具的规划工具。这将为评估实时决策提供替代选择。建议将仿真模型作为一种工具来检测元素,关系和动力学,并以简化的形式进行,以便体验结果。也就是说,将计算机模型的理论位置转换为(以实验的方式)研究在现象出现之前从操纵变量得出的可能解决方案。在城市规划的情况下,考虑到在构建城市项目时可能会出现的干预环境中预期不良影响的重要性,这种情况特别重要。本文基于系统的动力学和软件的应用(可以预测阿根廷科尔多瓦市的城市更新项目中某些决策的影响),评估了仿真方法的应用。它应用了通用系统理论,该理论对复杂思想的概念做出了贡献,并且是跨学科的。基于复杂和多维城市的思想,分析了房地产开发的影响,并提出了在城市管理过程中使用该工具的局限性和可能性的结论。

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