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The Influence of Rain Gauge Network Density on the Performance of a Hydrological Model

机译:雨量计网络密度对水文模型性能的影响

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Rain gauge data suffers from spatial errors because of precipitation variability within short distances and due to sparse or irregular network. Use of interpolation is often unreliable to evaluate due to the aforementioned irregular sparse networks. This study is carried out in the Nette River catchment of Lower Saxony to alleviate the problem of using gauge data to measure the performance of interpolation. Radar precipitation data was extracted in the positions of 53 rain gauge stations, which are distributed throughout the range of the weather surveillance radar (WSR). Since radar data traditionally suffers from temporal errors, it was corrected using the Mean Field Bias (MFB) method by utilizing the rain gauge data and then further used as the reference precipitation in the study. The performances of Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) and Ordinary Kriging (OK) interpolation methods by means of cross validation were assessed. Evaluation of the effect of the gauge densities on HBV-IWW hydrological model was achieved by comparing the simulated discharges for the two interpolation methods and corresponding densities against the simulated discharge of the reference precipitation data. Interpolation performance in winter was much better than summer for both interpolation methods. Furthermore, Ordinary Kriging performed marginally better than Inverse Distance Weighting in both seasons. In case of areal precipitation, progressive improvement in performance with increase in gauge density for both interpolation methods was observed, but Inverse Distance Weighting was found more consistent up to higher densities. Comparison showed that Ordinary Kriging outperformed Inverse Distance Weighting only up to 70% density, beyond which the performance is equal. The hydrological modelling results are similar to that of areal precipitation except that for both methods, there was no improvement in performance beyond the 50% gauge density.
机译:由于短距离内的降水变化以及稀疏或不规则的网络,雨量计数据会遭受空间误差。由于上述不规则稀疏网络,使用插值法常常不可靠。这项研究是在下萨克森州的内特河流域进行的,以缓解使用量规数据来测量插值性能的问题。在53个雨量计站的位置提取了雷达降水数据,这些数据分布在整个天气监视雷达(WSR)的范围内。由于传统上雷达数据会受到时间误差的影响,因此利用雨量计数据使用平均场偏(MFB)方法对其进行了校正,然后进一步用作研究中的参考降水量。通过交叉验证评估了逆距离加权(IDW)和普通克里格(OK)插值方法的性能。通过比较两种插值方法的模拟排放量和相应的密度与参考降水数据的模拟排放量,评估了表观密度对HBV-IWW水文模型的影响。两种插值方法的冬季插值性能都比夏季好。此外,普通克里格在两个季节中的表现都比逆距离加权好一些。在出现区域降水的情况下,两种插值方法均观察到性能随着表观密度的增加而逐渐改善,但发现反距离权重在更高密度下更为一致。比较表明,普通克里金法在密度高达70%的情况下均优于逆距离加权法,在此范围内性能相等。水文模拟结果与区域降水的模拟结果相似,只是两种方法的性能都没有改善,超过了表观密度的50%。

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