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Economic feasibility of biogas production in swine farms using time series analysis

机译:时间序列分析的猪场沼气生产的经济可行性

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This study aimed to measure the economic feasibility and the time needed to return capital invested for the installation of a swine manure treatment system, these values originated the sale of carbon credits and/or of compensation of electric energy in swine farms, using the Box-Jenkins forecast models. It was found that the use of biogas is a viable option in a large scale with machines that operate daily for 10h or more, being the return period between 70 to 80 months. Time series analysis models are important to anticipate the series under study behavior, providing the swine breeder/investor means to reduce the financial investment risk as well as helping to decrease the production costs. Moreover, this process can be seen as another source of income and enable the breeder to be self-sufficient in the continuous supply of electric energy, which is very valuable nowadays considering that breeders are now increasingly using various technologies.
机译:这项研究旨在衡量经济可行性和返还投资用于安装猪粪处理系统的资金所需的时间,这些价值源自使用Box-在猪场出售碳信用额和/或补偿电能。詹金斯预测模型。人们发现,沼气的使用是大规模可行的选择,其机器每天运行10小时或更长时间,回收期为70到80个月。时间序列分析模型对于预测研究行为的序列非常重要,它为养猪者/投资者提供了减少财务投资风险以及帮助降低生产成本的手段。此外,该过程可被视为另一种收入来源,使育种者能够自给自足地持续提供电能,考虑到育种者现在越来越多地使用各种技术,这在当今非常有价值。

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