An empirical study on reshape of industrial structures in the core water source area of the middle route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project - a case study of Shiyan City in Hubei Province

摘要

This paper investigates the interactive influence between the local GDP and industrial structures of Shiyan City, Hubei Province between 1991 and 2014, by using the VAR Model, Johansen Co integration Test, Vector Error Correction Model, Granger Causality Test, Impulsive Response Function and Variation Decomposition analysis. The results indicate that there is interactive relationship between the primary industry and the tertiary industry in Hubei Shiyan. With the implementation of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project, Water Pollution Prevention and Control as well as Water and Soil Conservation in Danjiangkou Reservoir and Upstream Areas (here in after referred as "DAN Comprehensive Treatment") in Shiyan, strategy and policy suggestions on reshape and optimization of the three industrial structures of Shiyan are proposed. These can provide valuable advice or references for industrial structure reshape, economic and social development and ecological environment protection in Shiyan City, Hubei province and the similar reservoir areas and water source areas.