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OPTIMAL SEQUENTIAL PROCEDURES WITH BAYES DECISION RULES

机译:贝叶斯决定规则的最佳顺序程序

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摘要

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does not exceed some given bound. We characterize the form of optimal sequential stopping rules in this problem. In particular, we have a characterization of the form of optimal sequential decision procedures when the Bayesian risk includes both the loss due to incorrect decision and the cost of observations.
机译:在本文中,考虑了一般离散时间随机过程的顺序统计推断的一般问题。问题在于考虑到由于错误决策而引起的贝叶斯风险不会超过某个给定范围,因此要使平均样本数最小化。我们描述了此问题中最佳顺序停止规则的形式。特别是,当贝叶斯风险既包括由于错误决策带来的损失,又包括观测成本时,我们具有最佳顺序决策程序形式的特征。

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