PROBABILISTIC MODEL FOR PREDICTING SHIP UNDERKEEL CLEARANCE: FIELD AND LABORATORY VALIDATION

摘要

This paper presents validation comparisons between field and laboratory measurements and a new probabilistic model for predicting ship underkeel clearance (UKC). Prototype ship motions and environmental data were obtained in May 1999 in the deep-draft entrance channel at Barbers Point, HI. These field measurements were reproduced in controlled laboratory studies in 2000 and 2002 with a model of the World Utility (WU) bulk carrier. These measurements constitute some of the data being used to validate the Corps's Channel Analysis and Design Evaluation Tool (CADET), a suite of programs to determine the optimum dredge depth for entrance channels. In general, the CADET predictions matched the field and laboratory measurements within cm-accuracy for wave heights that ranged from 45 cm to 75 cm.