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U.S. Workers Delaying Retirement: Who and Why and Implications for Businesses

机译:美国工人推迟退休:谁和为什么以及对企业的影响

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摘要

One of the main trends in the labor market in recent years is the aging of the workforce, which partly results from older workers delaying retirement. Using the Current Population Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we find that the trend of delaying retirement began as early as the mid-1990s, accelerated since the beginning of the latest recession, and has continued into the first four months of 2011. We also find that the development of this trend varied significantly across socioeconomic groups, industries, and occupations. We then use The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey to measure the impact of home prices and labor market conditions on retirement decisions, and find that workers in households that experienced labor loss/ compensation cuts and significant declines in home prices were more likely to plan to delay retirement. These results also indicate that workers from states that suffered from large declines in home prices and high unemployment are more likely to delay retirement. We conclude by discussing potential economic and business implications.
机译:近年来,劳动力市场的主要趋势之一是劳动力的老化,这部分是由于年长的工人推迟退休所致。使用美国劳工统计局的《当前人口调查》,我们发现延迟退休的趋势早在1990年代中期就开始了,自最近一次经济衰退开始以来加速了,并一直持续到2011年的前四个月。我们还发现,这种趋势的发展在各个社会经济群体,行业和职业中差异很大。然后,我们使用会议委员会消费者信心调查来衡量房价和劳动力市场状况对退休决定的影响,发现遭受劳动力损失/薪酬削减和房价大幅下跌的家庭中的工人更有可能计划推迟退休。这些结果还表明,遭受房价大幅下跌和高失业率困扰的州的工人更有可能推迟退休。最后,我们讨论了潜在的经济和商业影响。

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