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Developing empirical relationships to predict loess slide travel distances: a case study on the Loess Plateau in China

机译:建立经验关系以预测黄土滑坡的行进距离:以中国黄土高原为例

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To improve landslide hazard mapping quality, a functional relationship with travel distance prediction is essential. To obtain a more accurate empirical relationship for predicting loess slide travel distances, we developed a loess slide database for the central Loess Plateau using a combination of remote sensing image interpretations, existing datasets, and an intensive field survey. The loess slide travel distance was concentrated within less than 200m, according to a cumulative frequency analysis. Our results reveal that the loess slide volume, slope height, and slope inclination of the sliding area control the travel distance, and this relation is well-described by a power law function. Furthermore, statistical analysis suggested that the equivalent coefficient of friction decreases with an increase in loess slide volume but increases with an increase in slope inclination. We compared the prediction performances of four empirical relationships proposed in this study using the mean absolute percentage error and Theil inequality coefficient methods. We discovered that the empirical relationship with three independent variables can more accurately predict the loess slide travel distance than the relationships with one or two independent variables.
机译:为了提高滑坡灾害成图质量,与行进距离预测之间的功能关系至关重要。为了获得更准确的经验关系来预测黄土滑坡的行进距离,我们结合遥感影像解释,现有数据集和密集的现场调查,开发了黄土高原中部的黄土滑坡数据库。根据累积频率分析,黄土滑道的行进距离集中在200m以内。我们的研究结果表明,黄土滑坡的体积,坡度高度和滑坡区域的坡度控制着行进距离,这种关系可以通过幂定律函数很好地描述。此外,统计分析表明,等效摩擦系数随黄土滑坡量的增加而减小,但随坡度的增加而增大。我们使用平均绝对百分比误差和Theil不等式系数方法比较了本研究中提出的四个经验关系的预测性能。我们发现,与三个独立变量的关系比与一个或两个独立变量的关系可以更准确地预测黄土滑坡的行进距离。

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