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The Return to Capital in China

机译:重返中国

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China has one of the highest investment rates in the world, over 40 percent of its GDP in recent years. A natural question to ask is: Does China invest too much? On the one hand, China is still a low-income economy, with a capital-labor ratio that is low compared with those of advanced economies, and thus the potential returns to investment could be high. On the other hand, as Robert Lucas pointed out, other constraints, such as low levels of human capital, backward technology, and low quality of institutions, may limit the realization of these potential high returns in China as in other developing countries. The fact that capital often flows from poor to rich countries reminds us that the return to capital is not always higher in poor countries.
机译:中国是世界上投资率最高的国家之一,近年来占其GDP的40%以上。一个自然的问题是:中国投资过多吗?一方面,中国仍然是低收入经济体,资本劳动比率与发达经济体相比较低,因此潜在的投资回报可能很高。另一方面,正如罗伯特·卢卡斯(Robert Lucas)所指出的那样,其他制约因素,如人力资本水平低,技术落后,制度质量低等,可能会限制中国像其他发展中国家那样实现这些潜在的高回报。资本经常从贫穷国家流向富裕国家这一事实提醒我们,贫穷国家的资本回报率并不总是较高。

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