Extreme precipitation events over Saudi Arabia during the wet season and their associated teleconnections

摘要

An assessment of the Extreme Precipitation Events (EPEs) is important because of their potential impacts on the local livelihood, ecosystem, and water resource management. In the present study, the EPEs are defined by applying a non-parametric (95th percentile) approach over different climatic regions of Saudi Arabia using observed daily precipitation data for the period 1984-2016 obtained from 27 meteorological stations. The frequency, composite and correlation analyses are performed to evaluate the statistics of EPEs and their teleconnections. During the wet season (Nov-Apr), the frequency of the EPEs (>= 25 mm/day) are higher over northeastern, central and southwestern coastal parts of Saudi Arabia. The composites and correlation analyses show that the EPEs over Saudi Arabia are associated with mid-latitude circumglobal wave train (CGT), which evolves a few days before the onset of EPEs and decays afterwards. The CGT modulates the upper-level trough over the Arabian Peninsula (AP) along with the surface anomalous low-pressure system that enhances moisture convergence, favoring the occurrence of EPEs over the region. The EPEs over Saudi Arabia are also associated with El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which shows that during the positive (negative) ENSO phase the frequency of EPEs increases (decreases) over the country. Moreover, the El Nino (with positive CGT) enhances the EPEs frequency over Saudi Arabia while vice-versa happens for La Nina (with negative CGT) phase.