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The Euro and Other Major Currencies Floating Against the U.S. Dollar

机译:欧元和其他主要货币对美元浮动

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This paper discusses the interdependent effects of conditional volatilities in returns of the Euro and other major currencies against U.S. dollar exchange rates (spot rates) since the launch of the Euro, using, for this purpose, the daily data and dynamic conditional correlation (DCC)-GARCH model with country-specific effects. The following conclusions are drawn: there are volatility spillovers (contemporaneous and lagged) in the Euro, Yen, and British pound, the degree of the correlation is high between the Euro and British pound against the U.S. dollar, there is a very strong association between the ECB Euro reference rate (fixing rates) and U.S.-traded spot rates, and finally, the impulse-response of volatility (after the accession of new Member States to the European Union) rapidly diminishes in the spot markets, indicating a short-run dynamic effect.
机译:本文讨论了自欧元推出以来欧元和其他主要货币的收益率条件波动率与美元汇率(即期汇率)的相互依存关系,为此,它使用了每日数据和动态条件相关性(DCC) -GARCH模型具有特定国家/地区的效果。得出以下结论:欧元,日元和英镑存在波动性溢出(同时性和滞后性),欧元和英镑对美元之间的相关程度很高,两者之间有很强的关联性欧洲央行的欧元参考汇率(固定汇率)和美国交易的即期汇率,最后,波动的冲动响应(在新成员国加入欧盟后)在现货市场迅速减少,表明这是短期的动态效果。

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