A multi-objective framework for long-term generation expansion planning with variable renewables

摘要

The growing importance of operational flexibility in generation expansion planning with increased integration of variable renewables has been regularly highlighted in recent research. Yet, operational flexibility has been largely overlooked in order to reduce the prohibitive problem size that results when operational details at small timescales are included in this long-term exercise. In this work, we present a multi-objective optimization framework that effectively and tractably incorporates flexibility screening of candidate generation portfolios in long-term generation expansion planning. Operational flexibility is considered as a separate objective along with the traditional economic and environmental objectives. The ability of the proposed methodology to provide valuable insights into the correlations between flexibility, total costs and carbon emissions is demonstrated using a case study. The results clearly reveal that omission of flexibility from the framework gives rise to deficient generation mixes that are unable to match the more frequent and steeper variations in net load. A high-level evaluation of the flexibility needed in generation portfolios to balance net loads with different degrees of variability is also provided. Finally, a procedure is proposed to support the decision-making process for selecting the most appropriate investment plan among the many solution options provided by the multi-objective optimization framework.