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Using stochastic programming and statistical extrapolation to mitigate long-term extreme loads in wind turbines

机译:使用随机规划和统计外推法减轻风力涡轮机的长期极端负荷

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摘要

We propose stochastic programming formulations to enforce mechanical load requirements in wind turbine controller design procedures. The formulations use statistical extrapolation techniques to construct a probabilistic (chance) constraint that controls the long-term probability of exceeding an extreme load threshold (as described by the IEC-61400 standard). This approach is based on the observation that extreme loads follow a generalized extreme value distribution, which enables an explicit algebraic representation of the probabilistic constraint. We illustrate how to use the formulations to find design parameters for pitch angle and torque controllers that maximize power output while constraining long-term extreme loads. We also use the formulation to explore the ability of a hypothetical model predictive controller to mitigate extreme loads. The proposed formulations can be cast as large-scale (but structured) nonlinear programming problems that contain up to 7.5 million variables and constraints. We show that these problems can be solved in less than 1.3 h on a multi-core computer with existing optimization tools.
机译:我们提出了随机编程公式,以强制执行风力涡轮机控制器设计程序中的机械负载要求。这些公式使用统计外推技术来构建概率(机会)约束,以控制超出极限负载阈值的长期概率(如IEC-61400标准所述)。该方法基于以下观察:极限载荷遵循广义的极限值分布,这可以实现概率约束的显式代数表示。我们说明了如何使用这些公式来查找俯仰角和扭矩控制器的设计参数,这些参数可以在限制长期极限载荷的同时最大化功率输出。我们还使用公式来探索假设模型预测控制器减轻极端负荷的能力。可以将拟议的公式转换为包含多达750万个变量和约束的大规模(但结构化)非线性规划问题。我们证明,使用现有优化工具在多核计算机上可以在不到1.3小时内解决这些问题。

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