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An empirical study of the asymmetric cointegration relationships among the Chinese stock markets

机译:中国股票市场之间不对称协整关系的实证研究

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摘要

The Enders and Siklos asymmetric cointegration test is employed to examine the long-run asymmetric equilibrium relationships between the Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Three samples are adopted, which are the whole sample (October 1992 to September 2002); the first subsample before B shares were opened up to the Chinese public (October 1992 to February 2001); and the second subsample after B shares were opened up (February 2001 to September 2002). The estimated results are as follows. First, when the conventional Engle-Granger symmetric cointegration test is used, only the A shares in Shanghai and Shenghen stock exchange market are cointegrated when using the whole sample and the first subsample. However, with the Enders-Siklos M-TAR asymmetric cointegration test, Shenzhen A and B shares stock prices have an asymmetric cointegration relationship after B shares were open, suggesting that openness increases the market efficiency. Furthermore, the two A shares in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges also have an asymmetric cointegration relationship in the whole sample and the first subsample, implying that although the asymmetric relationship is crucial, it has long been neglected. Finally, it is found that the adjustment speed of Shanghai A shares is faster when deviation from the long-run equilibrium is positive than when it is negative.
机译:Enders和Siklos不对称协整检验用于检验中国上海和深圳股市之间的长期不对称均衡关系。采用三个样本作为整体样本(1992年10月至2002年9月)。在向中国公众公开发行B股之前的第一个子样本(1992年10月至2001年2月); B股开盘后的第二个子样本(2001年2月至2002年9月)。估计结果如下。首先,当使用常规的Engle-Granger对称协整检验时,使用整个样本和第一个子样本时,只有上海和深交所的A股会进行协整。然而,通过Enders-Siklos M-TAR非对称协整检验,B股开盘后深圳A股和B股股价具有非对称协整关系,这表明开放性提高了市场效率。此外,上海和深圳证券交易所的两个A股在整个样本和第一个子样本中也具有不对称协整关系,这意味着尽管不对称关系至关重要,但长期以来一直被忽略。最后,发现当长期均衡偏离为正时,上海A股的调整速度要快于负均衡时的调整速度。

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