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Trade openness and economic growth: is growth export-led or import-led?

机译:贸易开放与经济增长:增长是出口拉动还是进口拉动?

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摘要

Most previous investigations have only focused on the effect of export expansion on economic growth while ignoring the potential growth-enhancing contribution of imports. This article re-examines the relationship between trade and economic growth in Argentina, Colombia, and Peru with emphasis on both the role of exports and imports. Granger causality tests and impulse response functions were used to examine whether growth in trade stimulate economic growth (or vice versa). The results suggest that the singular focus of past studies on exports as the engine of growth may be misleading. Although there is some empirical evidence supporting export-led growth, the empirical support for import-led growth hypothesis is relatively stronger. In some cases, there is also evidence for reverse causality from gross domestic product growth to exports and imports.
机译:以前的大多数调查都只关注出口扩张对经济增长的影响,而忽略了进口对促进增长的潜在贡献。本文重新审视了阿根廷,哥伦比亚和秘鲁的贸易与经济增长之间的关系,并着重于进出口的作用。格兰杰因果关系检验和冲激响应函数用于检验贸易增长是否刺激了经济增长(反之亦然)。结果表明,过去对出口作为增长动力的研究的单一关注可能会产生误导。尽管有一些经验证据支持出口导向型增长,但对进口导向型增长假说的经验支持相对较强。在某些情况下,也有证据表明从国内生产总值增长到进出口的反向因果关系。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Applied Economics》 |2008年第2期|p.161-173|共13页
  • 作者

    Titus O. Awokuse;

  • 作者单位
  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 FO;
  • 关键词

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