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Electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain

机译:西班牙的电力消耗与经济增长

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This article investigates linear and nonlinear causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain for the period 1971 to 2005. We use the methodology of Toda and Yamamoto (199521. Toda, H. Y. and Yamamoto, T. 1995. Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated process. Journal of Econometrics , 66: 225-50. [CrossRef], [Web of Science ®]View all references) and Dolado and Lütkepohl (19964. Dolado, J. J. and Lütkepohl, H. 1996. Making Wald test work for cointegrated VAR systems. Econometric Reviews , 15: 369-86. [Taylor & Francis Online]View all references). We also apply the standard Granger causality test in a vector autoregression for the series in first differences. We find unidirectional linear causality running from real GDP to electricity consumption. By contrast, we find no evidence of nonlinear Granger causality between the series in either direction.View full textDownload full textRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504850903018689
机译:本文研究了1971年至2005年西班牙电力消费与经济增长之间的线性和非线性因果关系。我们使用Toda和Yamamoto(199521. Toda,HY和Yamamoto,T. 1995)的方法。矢量自回归的统计推断可能与计量经济学杂志,66:225-50。[CrossRef],[Web ofScience®]查看所有参考资料)以及Dolado和Lütkepohl(19964. Dolado,JJ和Lütkepohl,H. 1996.使Wald测试对协整工作有效VAR系统。计量经济学评论,15:369-86。[Taylor&Francis Online]查看所有参考文献)。我们还将向量格兰杰因果关系检验应用在向量自回归中,用于一阶差分序列。我们发现从实际GDP到电力消耗的单向线性因果关系。相比之下,我们找不到在任何一个方向上系列之间存在非线性Granger因果关系的证据。查看全文下载全文相关变量,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,发布号:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504850903018689

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