The Simulation-Reality Mismatch

摘要

Historically, there has been a mismatch between the air combat attrition predictions of analysts' computer modelsrnand the actual attrition experienced in major air campaigns. Simply put, the models have always erred on the pessimistic side.rnUnderstanding the sources of this mismatch is important today because many Air Force and Pentagon experts are at it again. This time, they are claiming that even stealthy fifth generation fighters and B-2 bombers cannot penetrate future threat arrays without unacceptable losses.