The British Government has published several additional position papers outlining the likely effects of the UK leaving the EU in March 2019 without an agreement. While the likelihood of a 'no deal' scenario has increased in recent months, some form of agreement still seems to be a likely outcome. There is also a possibility that there will be an extended 'transition' period after 30 March when more detailed arrangements may be settled. However, the EU is reported to have begun planning an emergency sequence of legislative action for April, which might include aviation safety and security issues. Large UK-located manufacturing companies are also beginning to anticipate breaks or delays in supply chain operations.
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