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Urban Scaling and Its Deviations: Revealing the Structure of Wealth Innovation and Crime across Cities

机译:城市规模及其偏差:揭示整个城市的财富创新和犯罪的结构

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摘要

With urban population increasing dramatically worldwide, cities are playing an increasingly critical role in human societies and the sustainability of the planet. An obstacle to effective policy is the lack of meaningful urban metrics based on a quantitative understanding of cities. Typically, linear per capita indicators are used to characterize and rank cities. However, these implicitly ignore the fundamental role of nonlinear agglomeration integral to the life history of cities. As such, per capita indicators conflate general nonlinear effects, common to all cities, with local dynamics, specific to each city, failing to provide direct measures of the impact of local events and policy. Agglomeration nonlinearities are explicitly manifested by the superlinear power law scaling of most urban socioeconomic indicators with population size, all with similar exponents (1.15). As a result larger cities are disproportionally the centers of innovation, wealth and crime, all to approximately the same degree. We use these general urban laws to develop new urban metrics that disentangle dynamics at different scales and provide true measures of local urban performance. New rankings of cities and a novel and simpler perspective on urban systems emerge. We find that local urban dynamics display long-term memory, so cities under or outperforming their size expectation maintain such (dis)advantage for decades. Spatiotemporal correlation analyses reveal a novel functional taxonomy of U.S. metropolitan areas that is generally not organized geographically but based instead on common local economic models, innovation strategies and patterns of crime.
机译:随着世界范围内城市人口的急剧增加,城市在人类社会和地球可持续发展中发挥着越来越重要的作用。有效政策的障碍是缺乏基于对城市的定量了解的有意义的城市指标。通常,线性人均指标用于表征城市并对其进行排名。但是,这些隐含地忽略了非线性集聚对于城市生活史不可或缺的基本作用。因此,人均指标将所有城市共有的一般非线性影响与特定于每个城市的局部动态混合在一起,无法直接衡量本地事件和政策的影响。大多数城市人口指标都具有相似指数的城市社会经济指标的超线性幂律定标清楚地表明了集聚非线性(1.15)。结果,大城市几乎成比​​例地成为了创新,财富和犯罪的中心。我们使用这些一般的城市法律来开发新的城市度量标准,以分解不同规模的动态并提供对当地城市绩效的真实衡量。出现了新的城市排名和对城市系统的新颖而简单的观点。我们发现当地的城市动态显示了长期记忆,因此低于或超过其规模预期的城市几十年来一直保持这种(不利)优势。时空相关性分析揭示了美国大都市地区一种新颖的功能分类法,该分类法通常不是按地理区域来组织的,而是基于常见的当地经济模型,创新策略和犯罪模式来进行的。

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