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The PIT-trap—A “model-free” bootstrap procedure for inference about regression models with discrete, multivariate responses

机译:PIT陷阱-一种“无模型”引导程序,用于推断具有离散,多变量响应的回归模型

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摘要

Bootstrap methods are widely used in statistics, and bootstrapping of residuals can be especially useful in the regression context. However, difficulties are encountered extending residual resampling to regression settings where residuals are not identically distributed (thus not amenable to bootstrapping)—common examples including logistic or Poisson regression and generalizations to handle clustered or multivariate data, such as generalised estimating equations. We propose a bootstrap method based on probability integral transform (PIT-) residuals, which we call the PIT-trap, which assumes data come from some marginal distribution F of known parametric form. This method can be understood as a type of “model-free bootstrap”, adapted to the problem of discrete and highly multivariate data. PIT-residuals have the key property that they are (asymptotically) pivotal. The PIT-trap thus inherits the key property, not afforded by any other residual resampling approach, that the marginal distribution of data can be preserved under PIT-trapping. This in turn enables the derivation of some standard bootstrap properties, including second-order correctness of pivotal PIT-trap test statistics. In multivariate data, bootstrapping rows of PIT-residuals affords the property that it preserves correlation in data without the need for it to be modelled, a key point of difference as compared to a parametric bootstrap. The proposed method is illustrated on an example involving multivariate abundance data in ecology, and demonstrated via simulation to have improved properties as compared to competing resampling methods.
机译:自举方法在统计中被广泛使用,残差的自举法在回归上下文中尤其有用。但是,在将残差重采样扩展到残差不均匀分布的回归设置时会遇到困难(因此不适合自举)-常见示例包括logistic或Poisson回归以及用于处理聚类或多元数据的概括,例如广义估计方程。我们提出了一种基于概率积分变换(PIT-)残差的自举方法,我们将其称为PIT陷阱,该方法假定数据来自已知参数形式的一些边际分布F。这种方法可以理解为一种“无模型引导程序”,适用于离散和高度多元数据的问题。 PIT残差的关键特性是(渐近)关键。因此,PIT陷阱继承了其他任何剩余重采样方法都无法提供的关键属性,即可以在PIT陷阱下保留数据的边际分布。这反过来又可以推导一些标准的引导程序属性,包括关键的PIT陷阱测试统计数据的二阶正确性。在多元数据中,自举行的PIT残差提供了以下特性:可以保留数据中的相关性,而无需进行建模,这是与参数引导程序相比的关键区别。在涉及生态学中的多元丰度数据的示例中说明了所提出的方法,并通过仿真证明与竞争性重采样方法相比,该方法具有更好的性能。

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