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Weather-Related Flood and Landslide Damage: A Risk Index for Italian Regions

机译:与天气有关的洪水和滑坡破坏:意大利地区的风险指数

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摘要

The frequency of natural hazards has been increasing in the last decades in Europe and specifically in Mediterranean regions due to climate change. For example heavy precipitation events can lead to disasters through the interaction with exposed and vulnerable people and natural systems. It is therefore necessary a prevention planning to preserve human health and to reduce economic losses. Prevention should mainly be carried out with more adequate land management, also supported by the development of an appropriate risk prediction tool based on weather forecasts. The main aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between weather types (WTs) and the frequency of floods and landslides that have caused damage to properties, personal injuries, or deaths in the Italian regions over recent decades. In particular, a specific risk index (WT-FLARI) for each WT was developed at national and regional scale. This study has identified a specific risk index associated with each weather type, calibrated for each Italian region and applicable to both annual and seasonal levels. The risk index represents the seasonal and annual vulnerability of each Italian region and indicates that additional preventive actions are necessary for some regions. The results of this study represent a good starting point towards the development of a tool to support policy-makers, local authorities and health agencies in planning actions, mainly in the medium to long term, aimed at the weather damage reduction that represents an important issue of the World Meteorological Organization mission.
机译:在过去的几十年中,由于气候变化,在欧洲,特别是在地中海地区,自然灾害的发生率一直在增加。例如,强降雨事件可能通过与裸露的脆弱人群和自然系统的相互作用而导致灾难。因此,有必要制定预防计划,以维护人类健康并减少经济损失。预防工作主要应在更充分的土地管理下进行,并辅之以基于天气预报的适当风险预测工具的开发。这项研究的主要目的是调查天气类型(WTs)与洪水和滑坡发生频率之间的关系,这些洪水和滑坡在最近几十年对意大利地区的财产,人身伤害或死亡造成了破坏。特别是,在国家和地区范围内为每个WT制定了特定的风险指数(WT-FLARI)。这项研究已经确定了与每种天气类型相关的特定风险指数,该指数针对每个意大利地区进行了校准,并且适用于年度和季节性水平。风险指数代表每个意大利地区的季节性和年度脆弱性,并表示某些地区需要采取额外的预防措施。这项研究的结果为开发一种工具提供了一个良好的起点,该工具主要在中长期内支持政策制定者,地方当局和卫生机构计划行动,旨在减少代表重要问题的天气损害世界气象组织的代表团。

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