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Multi-Proxy Temperature Reconstruction from the West Qinling Mountains, China, for the Past 500 Years

机译:过去500年中来自中国西秦岭的多代理温度重建

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摘要

A total of 290 tree-ring samples, collected from six sites in the West Qinling Mountains of China, were used to develop six new standard tree-ring chronologies. In addition, 73 proxy records were assembled in collaboration with Chinese and international scholars, from 27 publically available proxy records and 40 tree-ring chronologies that are not available in public datasets. These records were used to reconstruct annual mean temperature variability in the West Qinling Mountains over the past 500 years (AD 1500–1995), using a modified point-by-point regression (hybrid PPR) method. The results demonstrate that the hybrid PPR method successfully integrates the temperature signals from different types of proxies, and that the method preserves a high degree of low-frequency variability. The reconstruction shows greater temperature variability in the West Qinling Mountains than has been found in previous studies. Our temperature reconstruction for this region shows: 1) five distinct cold periods, at approximately AD 1520–1535, AD 1560–1575, AD 1610–1620, AD 1850–1875 and AD 1965–1985, and four warm periods, at approximately AD 1645–1660, AD 1705–1725, AD 1785–1795 and AD 1920–1945; 2) that in this region, the 20th century was not the warmest period of the past 500 years; and 3) that a dominant and persistent oscillation of ca. 64 years is significantly identified in the 1640–1790 period.
机译:从中国西秦岭山脉的六个地点收集的总共290个树轮样本被用于制定六个新的标准树轮年表。此外,与中国和国际学者合作收集了73份代理记录,这些记录来自27种可公开获得的代理记录和40种在公共数据集中没有的树木年轮年代。这些记录用于通过改进的逐点回归(混合PPR)方法重建西秦岭山区过去500年(公元1500–1995年)的年平均温度变化。结果表明,混合PPR方法成功地集成了来自不同类型代理的温度信号,并且该方法保留了高度的低频可变性。重建结果表明,西秦岭山脉的温度变化性大于以前的研究。我们对该区域的温度重建显示:1)五个不同的寒冷时期,大约是AD 1520–1535,AD 1560–1575,AD 1610–1620,AD 1850–1875和AD 1965–1985,以及四个温暖时期,大约是AD 1645–1660,AD 1705–1725,AD 1785–1795和AD 1920–1945; 2)在该地区,20世纪不是过去500年中最温暖的时期;和3)ca的显性和持续振荡。在1640年至1790年期间,明显地确定了64年。

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