首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>PLoS Clinical Trials >Sampling for Global Epidemic Models and the Topology of an International Airport Network
【2h】

Sampling for Global Epidemic Models and the Topology of an International Airport Network

机译:全球流行模型和国际机场网络拓扑的抽样

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

Mathematical models that describe the global spread of infectious diseases such as influenza, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), and tuberculosis (TB) often consider a sample of international airports as a network supporting disease spread. However, there is no consensus on how many cities should be selected or on how to select those cities. Using airport flight data that commercial airlines reported to the Official Airline Guide (OAG) in 2000, we have examined the network characteristics of network samples obtained under different selection rules. In addition, we have examined different size samples based on largest flight volume and largest metropolitan populations. We have shown that although the bias in network characteristics increases with the reduction of the sample size, a relatively small number of areas that includes the largest airports, the largest cities, the most-connected cities, and the most central cities is enough to describe the dynamics of the global spread of influenza. The analysis suggests that a relatively small number of cities (around 200 or 300 out of almost 3000) can capture enough network information to adequately describe the global spread of a disease such as influenza. Weak traffic flows between small airports can contribute to noise and mask other means of spread such as the ground transportation.
机译:描述诸如流感,严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)和结核病(TB)等传染病在全球范围内传播的数学模型通常将国际机场的样本视为支持疾病传播的网络。但是,在应选择多少个城市或如何选择这些城市方面尚未达成共识。使用商业航空公司在2000年向《官方航空公司指南》(OAG)报告的机场航班数据,我们研究了在不同选择规则下获得的网络样本的网络特性。另外,我们根据最大的飞行量和最大的城市人口检查了不同大小的样本。我们已经表明,尽管网络特征的偏差随着样本量的减少而增加,但是相对较小的区域(包括最大的机场,最大的城市,联系最紧密的城市以及最中心的城市)足以描述流感在全球传播的动态。分析表明,相对少数的城市(大约3000个城市中的200或300个)可以捕获足够的网络信息,以充分描述流感等疾病的全球传播。小型机场之间的交通流量不足会导致噪音并掩盖其他传播方式,例如地面运输。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
代理获取

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号