Continuous decline of hepatitis E virus seroprevalence in southern Germany despite increasing notifications 2003–2015

摘要

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is viewed as an emerging pathogen. Many European countries, including Germany, have observed a steep increase of notified autochthonous hepatitis E cases in recent years. Our study investigated time trends in HEV seroprevalence in southern Germany between 2003 and 2015. A total of 3000 study sera were evenly distributed over sampling years 2003, 2006, 2009, 2012, and 2015, two age groups (20–29 and 30–39 years) and genders and were tested for anti-HEV IgG. Positive samples were quantified. The seroprevalence declined from 32.8% in 2003 over 22.5% in 2006 (p < 0.001) and 22.3% in 2009 to 17.7% and 17.8% in 2012 and 2015. A higher prevalence was found for males (p = 0.018) and the older age group (p < 0.001). Anti-HEV IgG concentrations ranged from 0.22 to 1783.19 WU mL⁻¹. A higher median concentration (2.41 vs. 1.89 WU mL⁻¹, p < 0.001) was found in the younger age group. The anti-HEV IgG seroprevalence decreased since 2003 and remains constant at ~18% since 2012. A rather low anti-HEV prevalence in young adults is indicative of a susceptible population and denotes a higher risk of HEV infections in this age group in the future. Therefore, reduction of HEV infection sources, close monitoring, and vigilance for proper control measures are warranted.