Pandemic preparedness and forecast

摘要

, Investments in pathogen discovery and improved surveillance, medical record keeping and data sharing. , Analyses of emergence events, disease distribution, host and vector ecology, social systems and trade allow the mapping of disease emergence risk and the targeting of resources to support heightened surveillance and preventive measures. , Observations and research inform the development and operational generation of real-time forecasts of infectious disease outbreak growth and geographic spread; this information is used to support the targeting of medical countermeasures and other supplies during an infectious disease outbreak event. , Continued investment in infectious disease observation and research iteratively improves the accuracy of all three systems (surveillance, risk mapping and real-time forecasting), as has occurred for weather prediction.