Attach importance to the procedure of deriving reproduction numbers from compartmental models: Letter to the editor in response to ‘Seasonality of the transmissibility of hand foot and mouth disease: a modelling study in Xiamen City China’

摘要

We read with interests Huang .'s article ‘ ’ [ ]. Huang . modelled the long-term transmission dynamics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Xiamen, China. However, we suspected that there was an inconsistency between the model formulation and the effective reproduction number, , in [ ]. As such, we highlighted the importance of following the next generation matrix (NGM) analytic procedure to find reproduction numbers in compartmental models.