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Developing Probability Distributions for Transfer Efficiencies for Dermal Exposure

机译:开发用于皮肤暴露的转移效率的概率分布

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摘要

Many dermal exposure models use stochastic techniques to sample parameter distributions derived from experimental data to more accurately represent variability and uncertainty. Transfer efficiencies represent the fraction of a surface contaminant transferred from a surface to the skin during a contact event. While an important parameter for assessing dermal exposure, examination of the literature confirms that no single study is large enough to provide the basis for a transfer efficiency distribution for use in stochastic dermal exposure models. It is therefore necessary to combine data sets from multiple studies to achieve the largest data set possible for distribution analysis. A literature review was conducted to identify publications reporting transfer efficiencies. Data sets were compared using the Kruskal-Wallis test to determine if they arise from the same distribution. Combined data were evaluated for several theoretical distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square goodness-of-fit tests. Our literature review identified 35 studies comprising 25 different sampling methods, 25 chemicals, and 10 surface types. Distributions were developed for three different chemicals (chlorpyrifos, pyrethrin I, and piperonyl butoxide) on three different surface types (carpet, vinyl, and foil). Only the lognormal distribution was consistently accepted for each chemical and surface combination. Fitted distributions were significantly different (Kruskal Wallis test p<0.001) across chemicals and surface types. In future studies increased effort should be placed on developing large studies that more accurately represent transfer to human skin from surfaces and developing a normative transfer efficiency measure so that data from different methodologies can be compared.
机译:许多皮肤暴露模型使用随机技术来采样从实验数据得出的参数分布,以更准确地表示变异性和不确定性。转移效率表示在接触过程中从表面转移到皮肤的表面污染物的分数。虽然是评估皮肤暴露的重要参数,但文献检查证实,没有一项单独的研究足够大,无法为用于随机皮肤暴露模型的转移效率分布提供基础。因此,有必要将来自多个研究的数据集进行组合,以获得可能用于分布分析的最大数据集。进行了文献综述,以鉴定报告转移效率的出版物。使用Kruskal-Wallis检验比较数据集,以确定它们是否来自同一分布。使用Kolmogorov-Smirnov和卡方拟合优度检验评估了组合数据的几种理论分布。我们的文献综述确定了35项研究,包括25种不同的采样方法,25种化学物质和10种表面类型。针对三种不同表面类型(地毯,乙烯基和箔)的三种不同化学品(毒死rif,除虫菊酯I和胡椒​​基丁醚)的分布进行了开发。对于每种化学物质和表面组合,始终仅接受对数正态分布。不同化学品和表面类型的拟合分布显着不同(Kruskal Wallis测试,p <0.001)。在未来的研究中,应加大力度进行大型研究,以更准确地表示从表面向人体皮肤的转移,并制定规范的转移效率措施,以便可以比较来自不同方法的数据。

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